The Adani Conglomerate's recent downfall has sent ripples through India, leaving both investors and citizens stunned. The controversy, sparked by a short seller attack on the conglomerate, raises significant questions about the country's appeal as a destination for global investment. Gautam Adani, head of the Adani empire, now finds himself facing his toughest challenge yet as an American investment firm accuses the Indian conglomerate of fraud and stock manipulation. Despite Adani's attempts to stabilize the company's falling shares and bonds, the American short seller's actions have created a storm in the Indian economy, leading to a general lack of trust among investors in Indian companies and tarnishing the country's reputation as a secure investment hub.

India's ties with the Adani Group have been under public scrutiny for some time now. The conglomerate, founded by Gautam Adani, has long had a close relationship with the Indian government, having been awarded a number of large-scale infrastructure projects and licences. Recently, Adani's fortunes have taken a turn for the worse, with the company facing a number of legal and financial setbacks.

The most pressing of these is the NCLAT order that Adani Power must pay nearly Rs. 3,000 crore to the lenders of its group company, Coastal Gujarat Power Limited (CGPL). This ruling could lead to the bankruptcy of Adani Power, leaving the government in a difficult position, as the company's failure could threaten India's energy security.

The collapse of Adani's control over the airport has left a lot of questions unanswered about the future of the airport. While the airport was highly successful under Adani's control, the decision to revoke their control has left many wondering how the airport will fare in the coming years. It is likely that a new company will take over the airport, however the specifics of their operations are yet to be determined.

The biggest concern for many is the potential for a decrease in service quality and the loss of jobs. Without Adani's influence, it is unclear how the airport will be managed, what the cost of running it will be, and what services will be provided. This uncertainty makes it difficult for people to confidently invest in the airport or to trust its management.

Overall, Adani's departure from the airport poses a great challenge to the future of the airport. With careful planning and close cooperation between the government and other stakeholders, the airport can remain successful and beneficial to the community. Moreover, the Adani Group is heavily reliant on government contracts, and the same is true of many of its subsidiaries. The failure of the Group could therefore have a domino effect on other companies, leading to job losses and a decrease in investment levels. This, in turn, could have a negative effect on the country's economic growth.

At the same time, the Adani Group's troubles could also have an impact on India's security. For one, the Group has a number of investments in defence-related projects, such as the Siachen base camp, and the failure of these projects could have serious implications for India's defence preparedness. Additionally, the Adani Group is closely tied to the Indian government and its actions could affect the government's decision-making process.

In short, the Adani Group's fall is not only a financial setback, but could also pose a threat to India's national security. The government must therefore be mindful of the Group's troubles and take appropriate steps to ensure that the company's failure does not undermine the country's security.

 

Girish Linganna
Aerospace and Defence Analyst

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Colombo (PTI): Millions of Sri Lankans are casting their votes on Saturday in the crucial presidential election -- the island nation's first major electoral exercise since its worst economic meltdown in 2022.

The election will be a test for incumbent President Ranil Wickremesinghe who has claimed credit for putting the country on the road to recovery.

Analysts said this election is the most keenly contested of all presidential elections since 1982 with 38 candidates in the fray.

Some 17 million people are eligible to vote at over 13,400 polling stations. Over 200,000 officials have been deployed to conduct the election which will be guarded by 63,000 police personnel.

Voting started at 7 am and will continue till 4 pm. Results are expected by Sunday. Buddhist Temple halls, schools and community centres have been converted into polling stations.

Officials estimated 30 per cent voter turnout by noon.

The Police Elections Bureau said that voting was proceeding peacefully, with no reports of violence so far.

"At 4 pm, we will try to start postal vote counting and at 6 pm we would like to start normal counting. All the election management systems are okay...Within two or three hours (after the counting of votes starts), we can display the results," said Colombo City Deputy Election Commissioner MKSKK Bandaramapa.

Wickremesinghe, 75, is seeking re-election for a five-year term as an independent candidate, riding on the success of his efforts to pull the country out of the economic crisis, which many experts hailed as one of the quickest recoveries in the world.

As Sri Lanka sank into economic collapse in 2022, a popular uprising led its then-president, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, to flee the country.

Wickremesinghe was appointed as president by Parliament a week after Rajapaksa was chased out of power.

"It's a turning point for Sri Lanka to get away from conventional politics which destroyed the country and the conventional economy which destroyed the country... and a new social system, and a political system," Wickremesinghe said after casting his vote in Colombo.

Under Wickremesinghe, the rupee has stabilised, inflation has slowed to near zero from over 70 per cent during the peak of the economic crisis, economic growth has turned to positive from contraction, and government revenue has jumped sharply after new taxes and an increase in value added tax (VAT).

The three-cornered electoral battle will see Wickremesinghe facing stiff competition from Anura Kumara Dissanayake, 56, of the National People's Power (NPP), and Sajith Premadasa, 57, of the Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB) and the main Opposition leader.

Though Wickremesinghe's recovery plan tied to rigid reforms linked to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout was hardly popular, it has helped Sri Lanka recover from successive quarters of negative growth.

Sri Lanka's crisis has proven an opportunity for Dissanayake, who has seen a surge of support due to his pledge to change the island's "corrupt" political culture.

This time, the minority Tamil issue is not on the agenda of any of the three main contenders in this election. Instead, the nation's battered economy and its recovery have taken centre stage with all three front runners vowing to stick with the IMF bail-out reforms.

Dissanayake and Premadasa want to tinker with the IMF programme to give more economic relief to the public.

If no candidate receives more than 50 per cent of the votes, a second preferential vote count will be conducted.

Voters in Sri Lanka elect a single winner by ranking up to three candidates in order of preference. If a candidate receives an absolute majority, they will be declared the winner. If not, a second round of counting will commence, with second and third-choice votes then taken into account.

No election in Sri Lanka has ever progressed to the second round of counting, as single candidates have always emerged as clear winners based on first-preference votes. This year could be different.

Analysts fear that many voters would not be familiar with marking the second and third choices. This could lead to a higher number of rejected votes.