India becoming $5 trillion economy by 2025 ‘simply out of question’: Ex-RBI Governor C Rangarajan
New Delhi: Claiming that India will need another 22 years of sustained growth to become a “developed country,” former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor C Rangarajan said on Thursday that at the current growth rate, India becoming a USD 5 trillion economy by 2025 is “simply out of question.”
“The interesting thing is, even if you reach USD 5 trillion, the per capita income in India will grow from the current level of USD 1800 to USD 3600. Even then, India will be called low-middle income country,” said the economist who was awarded the Padma Vibhushan in the year 2002.
“In order to become a high middle income country, the per capita income has to USD 3800 which will take another few years… The definition of a developed country is one whose per capita income is USD 12000. It will take 22 years for India to grow at 9 percent per annum to reach there. The task before us is highly daunting. We need to get out of the current slowdown as quickly as possible,” he told the gathering at Ahmedabad Management Association (AMA).
Pointing out the Indian economy grew “far short of expectations” at 3.5 percent annually for the first 40 years after the country’s independence, Rangarajan said the annual average growth rate improved in the 1990s to 6.8 percent, especially after liberalisation in 1992-93. “The highest rate of growth that we have seen in India, is between 2005-06 and 2007-08, when the annual average rate of growth of the economy was 9.4 percent… In 2008-09, the growth rate fell down because of the international financial crisis. But in 2009-10 and 2010-11, once again the growth rate picked up and went beyond 8 percent,” he said.
Stating that the economy was currently experiencing “slowdown”, the veteran economist said the economic growth has slowed down from 8.2 percent in 2015-16 to 6.8 percent 2018-19.
“So the economy has declined even as per the new series of data… If you look at the quarterly data of 2017-18, the growth in fourth quarter was 8.1 percent, and as per the first quarter of 2019-20, the growth has come down to 5 percent. There is no doubt about the fact that the Indian economy has slowed down and it is a matter of concern,” Rangarajan said adding that economic growth during the current year will not be more than 6 percent.
Claiming that the government could increase its expenditure as one of the measures to prop up the economy, he said the scope of government implementing is limited as “many of the revenue projections made in the Union budget may go wrong.” He said Goods and Services Tax was not providing “enough revenue” as projected earlier. Stating that both long term and short term measures are needed, he said disinvestment can help in providing funds to the government to a certain extent. Increasing FDI and exports can also help to tide over the crisis,” he added.
Courtesy: indianexpress.com
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Kane scores hat trick and Bayern extends Bundesliga lead to 11 points
Berlin (AP): Harry Kane was substituted in at the hour mark and still had enough time to score a hat trick on Saturday.
The England captain took his goal tally for Bayern Munich this season to 28 and the defending champions extended their lead to 11 points after thrashing Stuttgart 5-0 on the road.
Second-placed Leipzig later hosted Eintracht Frankfurt.
With Kane on the bench, Konrad Laimer took on the scoring duties and produced a superb finish. The Austria midfielder collected a long ball and combined with Michael Olise before slotting home from close range with a subtle backheel past goalkeeper Alexander Nübel in the 11th minute.
Kane made it 2-0 with a low shot into the bottom corner and Josip Stanišic added his name to the scoresheet. Kane added further luster to the win from the penalty spot after Stuttgart was reduced to 10 men for Lorenz Assignon using his arm to clear a ball in the 81st.
Kane completed the rout with a flick from an Olise cross with two minutes left. He has found the net five more times with England this season, taking his total to 33 goals for club and country.
Stuttgart had chances before halftime but lacked a cutting edge. Midfielder Nikolas Nartey thought he equalized only for his goal to be ruled out for offside after a VAR check.
Bayern Munich is unbeaten in 16 league and cup games against German opposition this season.
Other results
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Bayer Leverkusen suffered a fourth loss, 2-0 at Augsburg.
Defender Dimitrios Giannoulis put the host in front after six minutes then turned provider to set up forward Anton Kade. Leverkusen, which hit the woodwork, remained in fourth place, 14 points behind Bayern.
Wolfsburg scored from all of its shots on target and moved four points clear of the relegation zone after beating Union Berlin 3-1. Heidenheim defeated Freiburg 2-1. Cologne and St. Pauli drew 1-1.
