Fact-Check: Reports of Saudi Arabia ending Petrodollar Deal is misleading
Washington D.C. — Recent reports suggesting Saudi Arabia's termination of a longstanding petrodollar deal with the United States have ignited widespread online discussions regarding the potential decline of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency. However, several experts have pointed out a fundamental flaw in these reports: there was never a formal petrodollar agreement to begin with.
Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, addressed the issue in a blog post, highlighting that the narrative had gained unwarranted traction, serving as a clear example of "confirmation bias." He noted, "The story seems to have started in the crypto world. Many crypto speculators desperately want to believe in the dollar’s demise."
The reports suggested that an agreement, allegedly signed between Saudi Arabia and the US in 1974, expired on June 9, 2024, without renewal. This so-called 'petrodollar deal' was purportedly crucial for maintaining the dollar's global dominance. Donovan clarified that while the US and Saudi Arabia did establish a Joint Commission for economic cooperation in June 1974 to help Saudi Arabia spend its sudden influx of oil dollars on US products, this was not a formal petrodollar agreement. In July of that year, Saudi Arabia agreed to invest oil revenues in US Treasuries, a move that was confidential until 2016.
Furthermore, Donovan explained that oil has historically been traded in various currencies, not exclusively the dollar. "In January 2023, Saudi indicated it was happy to negotiate oil sales in other currencies. The possibility changes little for financial markets. Saudi Arabia’s riyal remains pegged to the dollar, and its stock of financial assets are dollar-focused. The dollar’s reserve status depends on how money is stored, not how transactions are denominated," Donovan stated.
The US-Saudi relationship remains robust, with Riyadh continuing to be a key ally in the Middle East. This alliance is particularly significant for the purchase of US arms, which are priced in dollars. Despite China's substantial dollar reserves compared to Saudi Arabia's, efforts to diminish the dollar's global reserve currency status have seen minimal success.
The dominance of the dollar in global oil trade, encompassing transactions, transport, and insurance, is unlikely to wane even if Saudi Arabia were to consider selling oil in yuan. This preference for dollars simplifies transactions, unlike India's experience of buying Russian oil in local currency, where surplus accumulation poses investment or lending challenges for Moscow.
While Riyadh might explore using oil payments for Chinese exports, this is feasible with dollars as well. The oil industry's reliance on the dollar as the primary trade medium is expected to remain unchallenged, maintaining the dollar's predominant role in global financial markets.
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Strict security measures in place in Mumbai for Messi's events at 2 venues Dec 14, say police
Mumbai (PTI): In view of Argentine superstar footballer Lionel Messi's visit to Mumbai on Sunday, the city police are implementing stringent security measures, like not allowing water bottles, metals, coins inside the stadiums and setting up watchtowers to keep an eye on the crowd, officials said.
The police also said taking extra care to avoid any stampede-like situation and to prevent recurrence of the chaotic situation that unfolded in Kolkata during Messi's visit on Saturday as thousands of fans protested inside the Salt Lake stadium here after failing to catch a clear glimpse of the football icon despite paying hefty sums for tickets.
Messi is expected to be present at the Cricket Club of India (Brabourne Stadium) in Mumbai on Sunday for a Padel GOAT Cup event followed by attending a celebrity football match. He is expected to proceed to the Wankhede Stadium for the GOAT India Tour main event around 5 pm.
"In view of Lionel Messi's visit to Mumbai, the police are geared up and have put in place a high level of security arrangements in and around the stadiums located in south Mumbai. Considering the chaos that prevailed in Kolkata and the security breach, we have deployed World Cup-level security arrangements at Brabourne and Wankhede stadiums," an official said.
Expecting heavy crowd near the stadiums during Messi's visit, the city police force has deployed more than 2,000 of its personnel near and around both the venues, he said.
As the Mumbai police have the experience of security 'bandobast' during the victory parade of ICC World Cup-winning Indian team and World Cup final match at the Wankhede Stadium, in which over one lakh cricket fans had gathered, we are prepared to handle a large crowd of fans, he said.
"We are trying to avoid the errors that occurred in the past," the official said.
There is no place to sneak inside the stadiums in Mumbai like the Kolkata stadium, according to him.
The police are also asking the organisers to provide all the required facilities to the fans inside the stadium, so that there will be no chaos, he said, adding the spectators have purchased tickets in the range of Rs 5,000 to 25,000. After paying so much of amount, any spectator expects proper services, while enjoying the event, he said.
The police are expecting 33,000 spectators at the Wankhede Stadium and over 4,000 at Brabourne Stadium. Besides this, more than 30,000 people are expected outside and around the stadiums just to have a glimpse of the football sensation, he said.
The organisers responsible for Messi's India visit recently came to Mumbai to discuss security arrangements. During the meeting, the Mumbai police asked them not to take the event lightly, according to the official.
After those requirements were fulfilled, the final security deployment was chalked out, he said.
Police has the standard procedure of the security arrangements inside the Wankhede Stadium, where people are barred from taking water bottles, metals objects, coins. Police are setting up watch towers near the stadiums and there will be traffic diversions, so that there is maximum space available to stand, according to the official.
Police are also appealing to the spectators to use public transport service for commuting and avoid personal vehicles to reach south Mumbai.
To avoid any stampede-like situation, police are also taking precautionary measures and will stop the fans some distance ahead of the stadium and public announcement systems will be used to guide the crowd. Barricades will be placed at various places to manage the crowd.
In case the crowd swells up beyond expectation, the police will divert people to other grounds and preparations in this regard underway, he said.
Additional police force has been deployed in south Mumbai to tackle any kind of situation, he said.
