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New Delhi/Washington, June 15, 2025 – U.S. President Donald Trump has made at least fourteen public claims between May 10 and June 15, 2025, in that he has at least ten times asserted that he played a central role in securing a ceasefire between India and Pakistan by using U.S. trade leverage. While India officially maintains that the May 10 ceasefire was a bilateral outcome with no third-party intervention, it has not directly challenged Trump's version of events, allowing a growing perception of American influence over a critical South Asian security development.

Here’s a detailed timeline of Trump’s claims made over the past month, suggesting that his administration’s trade approach and diplomatic calls helped avert what he repeatedly described as a possible nuclear confrontation between the two countries.

May 10, 2025 – Ceasefire Announced on Truth Social

Shortly after the ceasefire was declared, Trump took to Truth Social, claiming U.S. mediation was behind the development:
“After a long night of talks mediated by the United States, I am pleased to announce that India and Pakistan have agreed to a FULL AND IMMEDIATE CEASEFIRE. Congratulations to both Countries on using Common Sense and Great Intelligence. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”
This marked the first instance where Trump publicly linked the ceasefire to American involvement.

May 11, 2025 – Trade Boost Post-Ceasefire

In another Truth Social post the following day, Trump hinted at increased trade with both countries as a reward for peace, even referencing a possible solution for Kashmir:
“I would substantially increase trade with both India and Pakistan,” he said, adding that he may even work on a Kashmir resolution “after a ‘thousand years.’”
This was the second direct suggestion that trade was being used as a tool to influence peace.

May 12, 2025 – White House Event

During a White House event, Trump said:
“Trade is a big reason why they stopped fighting.”
This was the third public remark linking trade with the India–Pakistan ceasefire.

May 14, 2025 – Interview on Fox News, Aboard Air Force One

In an exclusive with Fox News, while returning from Saudi Arabia, Trump made the fourth claim:
“I convinced India and Pakistan to have peace and make trade deals,” he said, crediting U.S. involvement as a key factor.

May 21–22, 2025 – Oval Office Meeting with South African President

During a meeting with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, Trump made two similar claims:
“If you take a look at what we just did with Pakistan and India… I think I settled it through trade.” (May 21, PTI)
“We settled that whole thing… through trade. We’re doing a big deal with India… Pakistan.” (Press conference)
These were the fifth and sixth instances.

May 29, 2025 – Court Filing in U.S.

Trump’s legal team, in a court filing, claimed that his administration offered trade access to both India and Pakistan, which led to the “fragile ceasefire.”
This legal document formed the seventh mention of U.S. trade intervention in the ceasefire process.

May 30, 2025 – Public Remarks on Ceasefire

In public remarks, Trump stated:
“They do it through bullets, we do it through trade,” describing this effort as something he was “most proud” of.
This marked the eighth assertion.

May 31, 2025 – Oval Office with Elon Musk

In an event with Elon Musk, Trump reiterated the nuclear threat narrative and said:
“We can’t trade with countries firing missiles… trade pressure halted it.”
This was the ninth public instance.

May 31, 2025 – Press Briefing at Joint Base Andrews

Speaking to reporters at Joint Base Andrews, Trump elaborated:
“India, as you know, we’re very close to making a deal with India… I wouldn’t have any interest in making a deal with either if they were going to be at war with each other.”
He further stated:
“I think the deal I’m most proud of is the fact that we’re dealing with India, we’re dealing with Pakistan and we were able to stop potentially a nuclear war through trade as opposed through bullets.”
“Normally, they do it through bullets. We do it through trade… They are both nuclear powers.”
These remarks added a tenth public claim.

June 6, 2025 – Call with Russian President Putin

Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov confirmed:
“The armed conflict between India and Pakistan… has been halted with the personal involvement of President Trump.”
Though this was a third-party validation, it repeated Trump’s claim through a diplomatic backchannel.

Yury Ushakov (Kremlin Press Service)

June 7, 2025 – White House Press Remarks

Trump, at the White House, said:
“Pakistan has very strong leadership. Some people don’t like when I say this, but it is what it is. And they stopped that war. I’m very proud of them.”
He expressed disappointment for not receiving due credit.

June 7, 2025 – Aboard Air Force One

Trump again addressed reporters while in transit:
“We solved a big problem, a nuclear problem potentially with India and with Pakistan… They could have gone at it nuclear… I stopped that war immediately.”
“I’d like to commend the leaders of both countries, Pakistan and India.”

June 12, 2025 – Media Briefing in Washington

After signing a bill, Trump told reporters:
“I told them, India and Pakistan, they have had a long time rivalry over Kashmir and I said I can solve anything.”
“I stopped a war between India and Pakistan, and I stopped it with trade.”
“I called each leader… I said, but you’re not trading with us if you’re going to go to war…”
“They understood… They stopped.”
He added that India was currently negotiating a trade deal, with Pakistan set to come next week.

June 15, 2025 – Truth Social Post Comparing Iran–Israel Crisis

In the context of the Middle East, Trump wrote:
“Getting India and Pakistan to make a deal… by using TRADE with the United States.”
This was the final and most recent reference – bringing the total to at least ten distinct public claims of using trade to broker peace.

India’s Official Stand: Ceasefire Was Bilateral, No Foreign Mediation

Despite Trump’s repeated assertions, India’s Ministry of External Affairs and the Prime Minister’s Office maintain that the May 10 ceasefire was the result of bilateral diplomatic channels, with no involvement of any third-party or foreign power. Indian officials have privately confirmed that the agreement was reached directly between New Delhi and Islamabad.

However, what’s drawing attention is New Delhi’s continued silence. Neither the MEA nor PM Modi have publicly challenged Trump’s narrative, which continues to gain traction internationally. The lack of an open rebuttal leaves Trump’s trade diplomacy story unchecked, potentially undermining India’s consistent policy of resolving regional matters bilaterally and without foreign interference.

Opposition Questions PM Modi’s Silence

Political leaders, particularly from the opposition, have voiced concern. Congress leader Sachin Pilot and others have demanded that the Prime Minister publicly clarify the Indian government’s stand and deny any foreign involvement if Trump’s claims are untrue.

“Why is the Prime Minister silent when India’s sovereignty in defence and foreign policy is being misrepresented?” asked senior Congress spokesperson Jairam Ramesh.

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New Delhi (PTI): A thick blanket of smog shrouded the national capital on Saturday morning with an air quality index (AQI) of 397, on the brinks of the 'severe' category.

Of the total monitoring stations in Delhi, 21 were in the 'severe' category with AQI readings crossing the 400-mark, the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) showed.

According to the CPCB data, Wazirpur registered the highest AQI at 445, followed by Vivek Vihar at 444, Jahangirpuri at 442, Anand Vihar at 439, and 437 each in Ashok Vihar and Rohini.

Narela recorded an AQI of 432, followed by 431 in Pratapganj, 430 in Mundka, and 429 each in Bawana, ITO and Nehru Nagar, it added.

The AQI stood at 423 each in Chandni Chowk and Punjabi Bagh, while Siri Fort and Sonia Vihar each recorded 424, the CPCB data added.

It further noted that Burari Crossing registered an AQI of 414, followed by 409 at Karni Singh Shooting Range, 408 each in North Campus and RK Puram, 404 at and Okhla Phase 2.

An AQI between 0 and 50 is considered 'good', 51 to 100 'satisfactory', 101 to 200 'moderate', 201 to 300 'poor', 301 to 400 'very poor' and 401 to 500 'severe', according to CPCB.

The Air Quality Early Warning System has forecast that Delhi's air quality is likely to remain in the 'very poor' category on Saturday and may deteriorate further, with conditions expected to slip into the 'severe' category on Sunday.

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