Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2018: Survey suggests Congress will win Rajasthan

Sachin Pilot leading CM face

Vartha Bharati | 01-11-2018 | 23:16:00 IST

New Delhi: Rajasthan is scheduled to go to the polls in a single phase Assembly Election on December 7 and counting of votes is slated to take place on December 11. Rajasthan has 200 Assembly seats. Times Now-CNX Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2018 pre-poll survey was conducted in 67 constituencies. In each constituency, 120 samples were used. 8,040 respondents (4,250 males and 3,790 females) participated in the survey.

When asked to assess the work done by the MLA in their constituency in the last five years, 43.27 per cent of the respondents said they were not satisfied. While 40.7 per cent of the respondents expressed satisfaction, 16.03 per cent said they had no opinion regarding this. It means that incumbency is a decisive factor in this election.

To the question - which is the most important consideration in the upcoming elections, the majority of the respondents opted for 'candidate'. While 35 per cent respondents answered that candidate in their constituency was the most important thing to be considered, 26.63 per cent mentioned that for them, the key factor is the chief ministerial candidate. This infers that performance, not personalities or party loyalty is influencing the voters.

Thirty-five per cent survey respondents mentioned employment as the biggest issue in the upcoming state elections, while 27 per cent said development was the key issue. Rafale deal row was named as the biggest issue by only one per cent participants.

How would you rate Rajasthan Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje's performance? 48 per cent respondents called it 'poor'. 35 per cent rated her performance as 'Good', 12 per cent 'Average', 5 per cent 'Can't Say'.

Sixty-five per cent participants expressed dissatisfaction over the way the Rajasthan government led by Vasundhara Raje handled the Padmavati controversy. When asked about gangster Anand Pal Singh's encounter, 55.7 per cent said they were dissatisfied. This shows that protecting fringe and imperious disregard for the rule of law hurt the image of Raje.

Who performed better as CM of Rajasthan? With 30.82 per cent respondents speaking out in favour, senior Congress leader Ashok Gehlot surpassed Vasundhara Raje (25.25 per cent).

In what should ring an alarm bell for the BJP, 45 per cent respondents said the Bharat Vahini Party (BVP), which was formed by former BJP leader Ghanshyam Tiwari earlier this year due to a rift with CM Raje, will hurt the party the most.

When asked who should be the next Rajasthan CM, Sachin Pilot emerged as an alternative to Vasundhara Raje.

Which government performed better - Central government or State government? 63 per cent voted for Modi government. This indicates that people in Rajasthan will vote for the BJP in 2019 Lok Sabha contest because of Brand Modi.

Fifty-three per cent expressed full satisfaction as far as Narendra Modi's performance as PM is concerned. In fact, when asked who should be the country's next PM - Rahul Gandhi or PM Narendra Modi, 69 per cent opted Narendra Modi.

Rajasthan Assembly polls: Seat prediction

SC seats: Times Now-CNX survey predicts the BJP will win 15 seats (2013 - 31) and Congress 17 (2013 -0)

ST seats: BJP - 13 (2013 - 18), Congress 11 (2013 - 4)

While the BJP is set to lose SC/ST seats, it could retain some if the BSP hurts Congress.

Urban areas: BJP - 12 (2013 - 18), Congress - 7 (2013 - 1)

Rural areas: BJP- 30 (2013 - 55), Congress - 38 (2013 - 10)

RURAL + URBAN (110 seats): BJP - 33 (2013 - 91), Congress - 70 (2013 - 10)

In urban areas, by and large voters will hit on lotus button. Lack of jobs, GST are clearly hurting the BJP.

Rajasthan polls: Region-wise vote share

Hadoti region (consists of cities like Kota, Baran, Bundi, Jhalawar): BJP - 25 (2013 numbers - 48); Congress - 35 (2013 numbers 09)

Marwar region (Jodhpur belt – key cities are Barmer, Pali, Jodhpur, Jalore): BJP – 17 (2013 – 47); Congress - 36 (2013 - 05)

Mewar - 64 seats (Main cities Bhilwara, Chittorgarh, Udaipur and Rajsamand): BJP - 27 (2013 - 59); Congress - 36 (2013 - 04)

Shekhawati – 16 seats (consists of Jaipur, Jhunjhunu, Sikar and Nagaur): BJP - 06 (2013 - 09); Congress - 08 (2013 - 03)

Rajasthan Assembly Elections 2018: Times Now-CNX Survey

Rajasthan Assembly Election 2018: Poll of polls

Times Now-CNX Survey Implications:

1. Congress will take the sting out of BJP's 'Congress-mukt Bharat' slogan.

2. Congress chief Rahul Gandhi's stature as an alternative to PM Narendra Modi will get a boost.

3. Grand Alliance prospects with Congress as fulcrum brightens.

4. PM Modi's aura of invincibility will receive a jolt ahead of 2019 Lok Sabha polls.

5. The survey indicates that voters are weighing performance over personality.

Courtesy: www.timesnownews.com

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Another North Goa nightclub sealed; Kejriwal says corruption led to fire tragedy

13-12-2025 ¦ 13-12-2025 IST

AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal (PTI)

Panaji (PTI): As part of a crackdown against tourist establishments violating laws and safety norms in the aftermath of the Arpora fire tragedy, Goa authorities on Saturday sealed a renowned club at Vagator and revoked the fire department NOC of another club.

Cafe CO2 Goa, located on a cliff overlooking the Arabian Sea at Vagator beach in North Goa, was sealed. The move came two days after Goya Club, also in Vagator, was shut down for alleged violations of rules.

Elsewhere, campaigning for local body polls, AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal said the fire incident at Birch by Romeo Lane nightclub at Arpora, which claimed 25 lives on December 6, happened because the BJP government in the state was corrupt.

An inspection of Cafe CO2 Goa by a state government-appointed team revealed that the establishment, with a seating capacity of 250, did not possess a no-objection certificate (NOC) of the Fire and Emergency Services Department. The club, which sits atop Ozrant Cliff, also did not have structural stability, the team found.

The Fire and Emergency Services on Saturday also revoked the NOC issued to Diaz Pool Club and Bar at Anjuna as the fire extinguishers installed in the establishment were found to be inadequate, said divisional fire officer Shripad Gawas.

A notice was issued to Nitin Wadhwa, the partner of the club, he said in the order.

Campaigning at Chimbel village near Panaji in support of his party's Zilla Panchayat election candidate, Aam Aadmi Party leader Kejriwal said the nightclub fire at Arpora happened because of the "corruption of the Pramod Sawant-led state government."

"Why this fire incident happened? I read in the newspapers that the nightclub had no occupancy certificate, no building licence, no excise licence, no construction licence or trade licence. The entire club was illegal but still it was going on," he said.

"How could it go on? Couldn't Pramod Sawant or anyone else see it? I was told that hafta (bribe) was being paid," the former Delhi chief minister said.

A person can not work without bribing officials in the coastal state, Kejriwal said, alleging that officers, MLAs and even ministers are accepting bribes.