RBI likely to cut repo rate by 25 bps in Dec amid low inflation, strong growth: Report
Kolkata (PTI): The RBI could announce a 25-basis point repo rate cut in its upcoming December monetary policy meeting, driven by a sharp decline in inflation and strong growth momentum, a report by credit rating agency CareEdge said on Tuesday.
It said inflation has eased to a decadal low of 0.3 per cent in October, well below the RBI's 4 per cent target threshold, creating policy space for rate cuts.
The current repo rate stands at 5.5 per cent.
"Factors such as stable Brent crude prices, healthy reservoir levels supporting rabi sowing, and muted price pressures arising from excess capacity in China should help prevent any sharp rise in inflation," the report stated.
While GDP growth has accelerated to 8.2 per cent in the second quarter of the 2025-26 fiscal, CareEdge projects a moderation to around 7 per cent in the second half of the financial year, as the boost from front-loaded exports fades and post-festival consumption moderates.
For the full fiscal, the report forecasts GDP growth at 7.5 per cent.
It said that with CPI inflation expected to average around 3.7 per cent over the next 12 months, the real policy rate at current levels would be roughly 1.8 per cent – above the estimated neutral range of 1-1.5 per cent – indicating scope for a rate cut.
Despite external headwinds, including prolonged trade negotiations with the US and geopolitical tensions, India's external sector remains resilient with foreign exchange reserves rising by USD 27 billion to USD 693 billion as of mid-November, it noted.
CareEdge expects the RBI to revise its FY’26 inflation projections to around 2.1 per cent and growth forecast to around 7.5 per cent in the December policy meeting.
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ED attaches fresh assets in PMLA case against Reliance Group; total attachment over Rs 10K cr
New Delhi (PTI): The Enforcement Directorate has attached fresh assets worth Rs 1,120 crore as part of its money laundering probe against the companies of Reliance Group chairman Anil Ambani, officials said.
Eighteen properties, including the Reliance Centre in Mumbai's Ballard Estate, fixed deposits, bank balance and shareholding in unqouted investments of Reliance Anil Ambani Group have been provisionally attached under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA), they said.
Another set of seven properties of Reliance Infrastructure Ltd, two properties of Reliance Power Ltd, nine properties of Reliance Value Service Private Ltd, fixed deposits in the name of Reliance Value Service Private Ltd, Reliance Venture Asset Management Private Lt, Phi Management Solutions Private Ltd, Adhar Property Consultancy Pvt Ltd, Gamesa Investment Management Private Ltd and investments made in unquoted investment by Reliance Venture Asset Management Private Ltd and Phi Management Solutions Private Ltd have also been attached, they said.
The ED had earlier attached properties worth over Rs 8,997 crore in the bank fraud cases related to Reliance Communications Ltd (RCOM), Reliance Commercial Finance Ltd, and Reliance Home Finance Ltd.
The total attachment in the case against the Reliance Group is now Rs 10,117 crore.
