SDPI joins TVK protest against Waqf Bill; Speculation rises over AIADMK alliance
TIRUCHY: The Social Democratic Party of India (SDPI) joined hands with the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) in a state-wide protest on Friday against the Waqf (Amendment) Bill, fuelling speculation over a possible shift in the SDPI’s alliance with the AIADMK. The protest, held in Tiruchy, marked the first time SDPI, known for its Muslim voter base, publicly participated in a demonstration led by the TVK, which is positioning itself as a pro-minority force.
Despite the timing and political undercurrents, SDPI state president VMS Mohammed Mubarak, also known as Nellai Mubarak, downplayed the speculation. “The protest was issue-based. Whoever opposes the Waqf Bill, we consider them a democratic force. Our participation was in response to the TVK’s call,” he told TNIE.
On the party’s existing alliance with the AIADMK, Mubarak maintained a cautious tone, stating, “We will join hands with whoever is against the Waqf (Amendment) Bill.” However, a senior SDPI member, speaking on condition of anonymity, expressed discomfort with the AIADMK’s perceived ambiguity regarding its ties with the BJP.
“We no longer trust the AIADMK to firmly oppose the BJP. Their position is inconsistent, one day they oppose the BJP, the next they keep the door open. Such ambiguity is dangerous for the community,” the member said, pointing to Union Home Minister Amit Shah’s recent claim that talks with the AIADMK were “ongoing and positive.”
The lack of a clear response from AIADMK leadership to Shah’s remarks has reportedly deepened concerns within SDPI ranks. However, senior AIADMK leader and former minister D Jayakumar dismissed talks of a rift. “We are still in alliance. The SDPI may have joined the TVK protest for a common cause, but nothing has changed officially,” he said.
In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the AIADMK had allotted the Dindigul seat to SDPI, which played a role in reaching out to Muslim voters. Despite that, scepticism remained among sections of the Muslim community, especially in areas like Tiruchy, over the AIADMK’s past alliance with the BJP.
Commenting on the development, writer and political observer Nagore Rizwan noted that TVK’s early opposition to the Citizenship (Amendment) Act (CAA) helped the party project itself as a pro-minority alternative. “The DMK can no longer brand the TVK as the BJP’s B-team. The AIADMK failed to win minority support despite opposing the Waqf Bill. Now, with the TVK demanding a share in power, its bargaining power has grown,” he said.
Rizwan added that while Muslim political groups had largely consolidated behind the DMK after the demise of Jayalalithaa, TVK’s rise could disrupt the traditional minority support base of both the DMK and the AIADMK.
Meanwhile, a faction of the Manithaneya Makkal Katchi (MJK) also participated in the protest. While the party’s founder Tamimun Ansari, currently aligned with the DMK, remains critical of both the TVK and AIADMK, sources say a section within the MJK is leaning towards the TVK for its vocal stance on minority rights.
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Post poll TN alliances divided in supporting TVK
Chennai (PTI): In a changed political atmosphere in Tamil Nadu with no single political party having a simple majority to form the government post the Assembly election, opinion is divided among the allies led by the Dravidian majors in extending external support to Vijay-led TVK in government formation.
Both the DMK and AIADMK are at unease as the Congress and also a section in the AIADMK express willingness to extend external support to Vijay-led Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagtam in forming the government.
Post poll, the TVK's political prospects appear to impact alliances led by both the Dravidian majors in a different manner, triggering a speculation of a split.
Leema Rose Martin, who won from Lalgudi on an AIADMK ticket, has stated that talks were underway on extending support to the TVK. Her son-in-law Aadhav Arjuna, who won from Villivakkam is TVK's general secretary.
On May 5, former AIADMK minister O S Manian, emerging from his meeting with party general secretary Edappadi K Palaniswami, stated that AIADMK would not support TVK in forming the government.
The AIADMK, which finished third in the elections with 47 seats has cancelled its meeting of MLAs designate on Wednesday amidst a difference in extending external support to the TVK, which won 108 seats, including two seats by its founder Vijay.
As Vijay is gearing up for his swearing-in on May 7, the police have tightened security at his residence here. The party has lodged its MLA-elect at a resort in Mamallapuram and has simultaneously engaged in talks with the Congress and AIADMK, a source said.
The DMK that won 59 seats on its own, has convened a meeting of its newly elected legislators on May 7 evening and the party is likely to elect the youth wing secretary Udhayanidhi Stalin, who won from Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni as its legislature party leader.
Congress general secretary K C Venugopal admitted that TVK chief Vijay requested the Congress for support to form the government.
"The INC is clear that the mandate in Tamil Nadu is for a secular government, committed to protecting the Constitution in letter and spirit. The INC is determined not to allow the BJP and its proxies to run the government of Tamil Nadu in any manner. Thiru Vijay has also spoken about drawing inspiration from Perunthalaivar Kamaraj," he said.
Accordingly, the Congress leadership has directed the TNCC to take a final decision on Vijay’s request, keeping in view the sentiments of the state as reflected in the electoral verdict, Venugopal said in a statement.
DMK spokesperson Saravanan Annadurai slammed the Congress decision and said the move to ally with TVK, pledging the support of its five MLAs to the party, was tantamount to "backstabbing the DMK and the people of Tamil Nadu."
"They have betrayed the mandate given by the people. Even before the ink on the returning officer’s signature on the victory certificate has dried, they have chosen to go ahead with this alliance," he told PTI.
The most important question was who took this "foolhardy decision, and how is it going to backfire on the Congress?" he asked.
"I don’t think they had any serious deliberation on this. The larger issue is their opposition to the BJP, which is their ideological enemy. We have supported the Congress throughout. It was our leader M K Stalin, who named Rahul Gandhi as the prime ministerial candidate when the BJP and RSS were criticising him. And now, within a day, they say they are supporting TVK. This is not the mandate of the people of Tamil Nadu,” Saravanan said.
The Congress' exit from its long-standing alliance with the DMK will be a significant moment in the political scenario of the state, commentator and political analyst Sumanth Raman said.
The Congress may be betting on the TVK as a long-term partner option, but that comes with risks, as the TVK is as yet an unknown quantity, he said.
"For the DMK, if the TVK+Congress becomes the choice of the minorities as it well could, it is an existential threat. It was the minority vote that gave the DMK alliance a 12%-15% cushion in the polls. If that goes, their chances of winning drops dramatically," Raman said on 'X.'
The Congress won 5 seats. However, DMK's other allies, the IUML, VCK, CPI and CPI (M) and DMDK have categorically stated that they would not support TVK.
As of now, the TVK requires the support of 11 MLAs to attain a simple majority of 118 to form the government.
The PMK, which won 4 seats and AMMK one - both allies of AIADMK - have not announced their decision yet.
"AIADMK’s real post-result drama may not be outside the party, but inside it. Whispers from the west and north suggest that a Coimbatore hand and a Villupuram voice may soon ask the question everyone is avoiding: Is it time to save the party from the leadership, before the cadre are forced to do it themselves? In politics, coups don’t begin with slogans. They begin with silence, phone calls and “review meetings,” Aspire Swaminathan, who is credited with founding the AIADMK IT wing in 2014, said on 'X.'
He has resigned from the AIADMK in 2021 and now acts an as independent political analyst.
