Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win 2024 election, citing "13 keys to White House" model
Washington,D.C.:Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate predictions of US presidential elections, has forecasted that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential race. In a video for the New York Times, Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the outcomes of nine of the last ten presidential elections, stated that Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump and maintain Democratic control of the White House.
Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" model evaluates the likelihood of an incumbent party's re-election based on various factors: whether the incumbent party gains House seats post-midterm, if the nomination is uncontested, if the sitting president represents the party, the absence of a strong third-party challenge, short-term economic stability, long-term economic growth, significant policy changes, social stability, lack of major scandals, success in foreign/military affairs, and the charisma of both the incumbent and challenger candidates.
Lichtman noted that Harris benefits from a lack of a strong third-party candidate, positive economic indicators, significant legislative achievements under the Biden administration, and the absence of social unrest or major scandals. Additionally, Harris did not face a significant party nomination contest as other candidates quickly endorsed her.
Lichtman concluded that even if some foreign policy keys were to turn negative, Harris would still have enough advantages to secure a victory over Trump.
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Kumaraswamy demands immediate local body elections, criticises Congress government
Bengaluru: Former Chief Minister and Union Minister H.D. Kumaraswamy has called for the immediate announcement of local body elections, accusing the Congress government in Karnataka of neglecting the democratic process.
He criticised the government for failing to hold elections for the district, taluk panchayats, and the Bruhat Bengaluru Mahanagara Palike (BBMP), which he described as the foundational pillars of democracy. He attacked the Congress government stating that the Congress government in the state, which has done publicity on the pretext of human chain, is not concerned about saving democracy.
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In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Kumaraswamy questioned the delay in conducting local body elections despite the Congress coming to power 1 year four months ago. He sarcastically remarked on the government's focus on populist measures and media campaigns, while ignoring the essential democratic processes.
Kumaraswamy also questioned whether the Congress’ actions truly uphold the democratic principles laid down by Dr. B.R. Ambedkar, suggesting that the party's priorities lie elsewhere. He demanded that the government announce the elections to "strengthen the chain of real democracy."
