Fact-Check: Reports of Saudi Arabia ending Petrodollar Deal is misleading
Washington D.C. — Recent reports suggesting Saudi Arabia's termination of a longstanding petrodollar deal with the United States have ignited widespread online discussions regarding the potential decline of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency. However, several experts have pointed out a fundamental flaw in these reports: there was never a formal petrodollar agreement to begin with.
Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, addressed the issue in a blog post, highlighting that the narrative had gained unwarranted traction, serving as a clear example of "confirmation bias." He noted, "The story seems to have started in the crypto world. Many crypto speculators desperately want to believe in the dollar’s demise."
The reports suggested that an agreement, allegedly signed between Saudi Arabia and the US in 1974, expired on June 9, 2024, without renewal. This so-called 'petrodollar deal' was purportedly crucial for maintaining the dollar's global dominance. Donovan clarified that while the US and Saudi Arabia did establish a Joint Commission for economic cooperation in June 1974 to help Saudi Arabia spend its sudden influx of oil dollars on US products, this was not a formal petrodollar agreement. In July of that year, Saudi Arabia agreed to invest oil revenues in US Treasuries, a move that was confidential until 2016.
Furthermore, Donovan explained that oil has historically been traded in various currencies, not exclusively the dollar. "In January 2023, Saudi indicated it was happy to negotiate oil sales in other currencies. The possibility changes little for financial markets. Saudi Arabia’s riyal remains pegged to the dollar, and its stock of financial assets are dollar-focused. The dollar’s reserve status depends on how money is stored, not how transactions are denominated," Donovan stated.
The US-Saudi relationship remains robust, with Riyadh continuing to be a key ally in the Middle East. This alliance is particularly significant for the purchase of US arms, which are priced in dollars. Despite China's substantial dollar reserves compared to Saudi Arabia's, efforts to diminish the dollar's global reserve currency status have seen minimal success.
The dominance of the dollar in global oil trade, encompassing transactions, transport, and insurance, is unlikely to wane even if Saudi Arabia were to consider selling oil in yuan. This preference for dollars simplifies transactions, unlike India's experience of buying Russian oil in local currency, where surplus accumulation poses investment or lending challenges for Moscow.
While Riyadh might explore using oil payments for Chinese exports, this is feasible with dollars as well. The oil industry's reliance on the dollar as the primary trade medium is expected to remain unchallenged, maintaining the dollar's predominant role in global financial markets.
Let the Truth be known. If you read VB and like VB, please be a VB Supporter and Help us deliver the Truth to one and all.
Amazon to make mega-investment of USD 35 billion in India by 2030 across its business
New Delhi (PTI): E-commerce giant Amazon plans to make a mega-investment of USD 35 billion, over Rs 3.14 lakh crore, in India by 2030 across its businesses with a focus on AI-driven digitization, export growth and job creation, a senior company official said on Wednesday.
Making the announcement during the Amazon Smbhav Summit, Senior VP Emerging Markets, Amit Agarwal, said the company has set a target to quadruple exports from India to USD 80 billion from about USD 20 billion it has facilitated as of now and create an additional one million direct, indirect, induced and seasonal jobs by 2030.
"Amazon to date has invested USD 40 billion in India since 2010. Now we will invest another USD 35 billion by 2030 across all our businesses in India," Agarwal said.
Amazon's investment plan is 2 times of Microsoft's investment plan of USD 17.5 billion and close to 2.3 times that of Google's USD 15 billion investment plan by 2030.
ALSO READ: Canada's top envoy to US will resign before review of free trade agreement
Agarwal said the company has invested USD 40 billion in India to date and is the largest foreign investor in India, according to a Keystone report compiled from publicly available data.
In May 2023, Amazon announced plans to invest USD 12.7 billion in India by 2030 into its local cloud and AI infrastructure across Telangana and Maharashtra. The company has already invested USD 3.7 billion in India between 2016 and 2022.
Agarwal said that the company has invested at scale towards building physical and digital infrastructure, including fulfilment centres, transportation networks, data centres, digital payments infrastructure and technology development.
According to the Keystone report, Amazon has digitized over 12 million small businesses and enabled USD 20 billion in cumulative ecommerce exports, while supporting approximately 2.8 million direct, indirect, induced and seasonal jobs across industries in India in 2024.
To push export growth from India, Amazon launched a manufacturing-focused initiative, "Accelerate Exports", designed to connect digital entrepreneurs with trusted manufacturers while enabling manufacturers to become successful global sellers.
As part of the program, Amazon will host on-ground onboarding drives in over 10 manufacturing clusters across India, including Tirupur, Kanpur, and Surat.
At the Smbhav summit, Amazon announced a key partnership with the Apparel Export Promotion Council of India to expand and scale the program nationwide.
