Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win 2024 election, citing "13 keys to White House" model
Washington,D.C.:Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate predictions of US presidential elections, has forecasted that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential race. In a video for the New York Times, Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the outcomes of nine of the last ten presidential elections, stated that Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump and maintain Democratic control of the White House.
Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" model evaluates the likelihood of an incumbent party's re-election based on various factors: whether the incumbent party gains House seats post-midterm, if the nomination is uncontested, if the sitting president represents the party, the absence of a strong third-party challenge, short-term economic stability, long-term economic growth, significant policy changes, social stability, lack of major scandals, success in foreign/military affairs, and the charisma of both the incumbent and challenger candidates.
Lichtman noted that Harris benefits from a lack of a strong third-party candidate, positive economic indicators, significant legislative achievements under the Biden administration, and the absence of social unrest or major scandals. Additionally, Harris did not face a significant party nomination contest as other candidates quickly endorsed her.
Lichtman concluded that even if some foreign policy keys were to turn negative, Harris would still have enough advantages to secure a victory over Trump.
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US–Iran first round direct talks conclude in Islamabad: Report
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The first round of direct talks between the United States and Iran, held in Islamabad, has concluded, Al Jazeera reported citing sources close to the development.
According to the report, following the discussions, delegations from both sides agreed to exchange written documents, a move aimed at ensuring clarity and consensus on the understandings reached during the meeting.
Both the Iranian and US delegations arrived in Islamabad on Saturday, April 11, amid high security for the peace talks.
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