Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win 2024 election, citing "13 keys to White House" model
Washington,D.C.:Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate predictions of US presidential elections, has forecasted that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential race. In a video for the New York Times, Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the outcomes of nine of the last ten presidential elections, stated that Harris will defeat former President Donald Trump and maintain Democratic control of the White House.
Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" model evaluates the likelihood of an incumbent party's re-election based on various factors: whether the incumbent party gains House seats post-midterm, if the nomination is uncontested, if the sitting president represents the party, the absence of a strong third-party challenge, short-term economic stability, long-term economic growth, significant policy changes, social stability, lack of major scandals, success in foreign/military affairs, and the charisma of both the incumbent and challenger candidates.
Lichtman noted that Harris benefits from a lack of a strong third-party candidate, positive economic indicators, significant legislative achievements under the Biden administration, and the absence of social unrest or major scandals. Additionally, Harris did not face a significant party nomination contest as other candidates quickly endorsed her.
Lichtman concluded that even if some foreign policy keys were to turn negative, Harris would still have enough advantages to secure a victory over Trump.
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Trump repeats claim he stopped potential nuclear war between India and Pakistan
New York/Washington (PTI): US President Donald Trump has repeated his claim of resolving the India-Pakistan conflict and asserted that Islamabad's leadership credited him for saving millions of lives.
"We stopped a potential nuclear war between Pakistan and India. And the head of Pakistan, a highly respected General, he's a Field Marshal and also the Prime Minister of Pakistan, said President Trump saved 10 million lives, maybe more...,” Trump said Monday.
He made these remarks at Mar-a-Lago, Florida, flanked by Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
“You know, eight planes were shot down. That war was starting to rage, and he actually said the other day that President Trump saved 10 million lives, maybe more. So we solved all these wars. The only one I haven't solved yet is Russia, Ukraine,” he said.
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Since May 10, when Trump announced on social media that India and Pakistan had agreed to a “full and immediate” ceasefire after a “long night” of talks mediated by Washington, he has repeated his claim over 60 times that he “helped settle” the tensions between the two neighbours.
New Delhi has consistently denied any third-party intervention.
India launched Operation Sindoor on May 7, targeting terror infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir in retaliation for the April 22 Pahalgam attack that killed 26 civilians.
India and Pakistan reached an understanding on May 10 to end the conflict after four days of intense cross-border drone and missile strikes.
