Rupee falls 1 paisa to fresh all-time low of 84.32 against US dollar
Mumbai, Nov 7: The rupee slipped 1 paisa to close at a fresh lifetime low of 84.32 against the US dollar on Thursday, as weak domestic equities and sustained foreign fund outflows dented market sentiment.
Forex traders said investors were also cautious ahead of the US Fed meeting outcome. Moreover, overnight gains in crude oil prices also weighed on the local unit.
However, a correction in the dollar index against major currencies helped the rupee and restrained the slide, they added.
At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.26 against the US dollar. During the session, the local currency touched a high of 84.26 and a low of 84.38. It finally settled at 84.32, a loss of just 1 paisa against its previous close.
On Wednesday, the rupee depreciated 22 paise to close at an all-time low of 84.31 against the US dollar.
The rupee touched fresh record lows again on the back of weak domestic equities and sustained FII outflows. However, the softening of the US Dollar index from Wednesday's highs cushioned the downside, forex traders said.
Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.22 per cent lower at 104.86.
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, fell 0.32 per cent to USD 74.68 per barrel in futures trade.
"We expect the rupee to trade with a negative bias on overall strength in the US Dollar on the back of Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential elections and FII outflows. However, softening of commodity prices amid easing geopolitical risk premium may support the rupee at lower levels," said Anuj Choudhary – Research Analyst at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas.
Any intervention by the RBI may also support the rupee at lower levels. Traders may take cues from weekly unemployment claims data from the US and FOMC meeting decisions. The Bank of England's monetary policy decision is also due.
"With Asian currencies down, US Dollar up, and yields up, the RBI does not have any option but to allow the rupee to fall to ensure that REER remains competitive for our exports.
"If the FOMC is a bit hawkish in its tone or does not cut rates today or says it will not cut in December, then we could see another fall in rupee to the extent of 84.50," Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, said.
BoE and FOMC are expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps. USD/INR spot price is expected to trade in a range of 84.15 to 84.60, Choudhary said.
In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex fell 836.34 points, or 1.04 per cent, to close at 79,541.79 points, while Nifty declined 284.70 points, or 1.16 per cent, to settle at 24,199.35 points.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Thursday, as they offloaded shares worth Rs 4,888.77 crore, according to exchange data.
"Importers need to be covered for any imports to be paid in November and for December should buy any dip near 84. Exporters are likely to book on every uptick of 25 paise after watching the markets," Bhansali said.
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Vijay says no to CM convoy until swearing-in: TVK
Chennai (PTI): TVK chief Vijay declined to accept the police convoy vehicles provided to Tamil Nadu chief minister as per protocol until his swearing-in, the party said on Thursday.
A police official confirmed that the CM convoy vehicles provided to him "as per protocol" following the announcement of the Assembly election results were returned and have not been withdrawn.
The official also said that arrangements were in place for the swearing-in ceremony.
The Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) clarified that its party founder Vijay had "personally requested that the convoy vehicles be returned". In a statement here, the TVK said: "Vijay conveyed that he would accept the official chief minister-level security only after forming the government with a decisive mandate".
Four convoy vehicles assigned to Vijay on May 4 after his TVK secured 108 seats in the Assembly polls returned from his residence following his request.
Even on May 6, the police had deployed security near his Panaiyur residence and in front of the Lok Bhavan here when Vijay called on Governor Rajendra Vishwanath Arlekar to stake his claim to form the government. Vijay did not use the government vehicle to meet the Governor.
